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Insight Net

Bundibugyo Virus Disease Outbreak — Democratic Republic of the Congo 2026

Epistorm Hub
Confirmed Cases
1,048
laboratory-confirmed in DRC
Confirmed Deaths
267
CFR ≈ 25%
Hospitalised in Isolation
371
in ETC/treatment facilities
Health Zones
34
Ituri, North Kivu, South Kivu
Uganda Confirmed Cases
20
with 2 confirmed deaths
PHEIC Declared
16 May 2026
WHO Director-General · IHR (2005)
Last updated · 21 June 2026
Overview

On 16 May 2026, following laboratory confirmation of Bundibugyo virus disease (BVD), the WHO Director-General determined that the outbreak constituted a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) under the International Health Regulations (2005). As of 21 June 2026, the Democratic Republic of the Congo has reported 1,048 laboratory-confirmed cases and 267 confirmed deaths (case-fatality ratio approximately 25%) across 34 health zones spanning Ituri, North Kivu, and South Kivu, with 371 patients currently hospitalised in isolation at ETC and treatment facilities. Uganda has reported 20 laboratory-confirmed cases including 2 deaths.

The Epistorm center at Northeastern University, supported by the CDC CFA Insight Net program, is providing quantitative risk assessments and analytical outputs in response to this outbreak. This hub aggregates all reports and analyses produced and is updated as the situation evolves.

Reports & Analysis
Report 4
Updated importation risk following the 2 June reopening of Bunia International Airport. Risk ranked across 208 international destinations beyond the immediate cross-border region.
Report 3
Conditional relative importation risk ranked across 197 international destinations. World choropleth and city-level analysis.
Report 2
Updated importation risk under the current expansion (Ituri, North Kivu, Kampala). Outbreak size estimated under three detected-export scenarios.
Report 1
Relative importation risk under two scenarios — Ituri Province as sole source, and the multi-province footprint spanning Ituri, North Kivu, and Kampala. Outbreak size estimated via ABC inference conditioned on two exported cases.