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Insight Net

Bundibugyo Virus Disease Outbreak — Democratic Republic of the Congo 2026

Epistorm Hub
Confirmed Cases
782
laboratory-confirmed in DRC
Confirmed Deaths
181
CFR ≈ 23%
Contacts under Follow-up
6,275
under active monitoring
Health Zones
31
Ituri, North Kivu, South Kivu
Uganda Confirmed Cases
19
with 2 confirmed deaths
PHEIC Declared
16 May 2026
WHO Director-General · IHR (2005)
Last updated · 13 June 2026
Overview

On 16 May 2026, following laboratory confirmation of Bundibugyo virus disease (BVD), the WHO Director-General determined that the outbreak constituted a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) under the International Health Regulations (2005). As of 13 June 2026, the Democratic Republic of the Congo has reported 782 laboratory-confirmed cases and 181 confirmed deaths (case-fatality ratio approximately 23%) across 31 health zones spanning Ituri, North Kivu, and South Kivu, with 6,275 contacts under follow-up. Uganda has reported 19 laboratory-confirmed cases including 2 deaths.

The Epistorm center at Northeastern University, supported by the CDC CFA Insight Net program, is providing quantitative risk assessments and analytical outputs in response to this outbreak. This hub aggregates all reports and analyses produced and is updated as the situation evolves.

Reports & Analysis
Report 4
Updated importation risk following the 2 June reopening of Bunia International Airport. Risk ranked across 208 international destinations beyond the immediate cross-border region.
Report 3
Conditional relative importation risk ranked across 197 international destinations. World choropleth and city-level analysis.
Report 2
Updated importation risk under the current expansion (Ituri, North Kivu, Kampala). Outbreak size estimated under three detected-export scenarios.
Report 1
Relative importation risk under two scenarios — Ituri Province as sole source, and the multi-province footprint spanning Ituri, North Kivu, and Kampala. Outbreak size estimated via ABC inference conditioned on two exported cases.